Recessions are not predictable with precision. But they are priceable, and at 40% to 50% probability, the risk deserves ...

Recession fears are back, but the outlook is more complicated than a simple yes or no. Here’s what top economists, business ...

Wall Street has been worried that cybersecurity will be replaced by AI, but Project Glasswing shows that fear is overblown.

However, investor sentiment remains cautious as recession concerns continue to intensify, according to data from prediction markets. Traders on Kalshi indicate that the probability of a U.S. recession ...

Moody's recession model is flashing a warning signal that a recession could be around the corner -- and that was before oil ...

Recession probability climbs to 39.2% in March 2026. Markets decline, oil prices surge, and key valuation metrics signal economic uncertainty ahead.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if either of the following conditions is met: 1. The seasonally adjusted annualized percent change in quarterly U.S. real GDP from the previous quarter is less than 0 ...

There's good news and not-so-good news for investors right now.

JPMorgan is walking back its 60% recession prediction for 2025 following the 90-day pause on trade tariffs agreed by China ...

Given the ongoing conflict in the Middle East, the odds of a U.S. recession have been rising on prediction market platforms like Kalshi and Polymarket. Odds are currently hovering around 30%, although ...

Nobel laureate Paul Samuelson once said the stock market has forecast nine of the last five recessions. He probably meant not to take warning signs from the stock market too seriously on recession ...

Rising geopolitical tensions in the Middle East are beginning to ripple through financial markets, prompting traders to reassess the outlook for the global economy. Activity on prediction market ...