Top economist Mark Zandi says the indicator that has called every recession since WWII just signaled we’re already in one

The Vicious Cycle Index is a recession indicator that takes labor force participation changes into consideration. The top ...

Recession Probability Sits Near 40 To 50 Percent — Here Is How To Size That Risk

Recessions are not predictable with precision. But they are priceable, and at 40% to 50% probability, the risk deserves ...

A Walmart-related recession indicator that's preceded the last 4 economic downturns is flashing red

The Walmart Recession Signal, a measure of Walmart's stock price relative to luxury stocks, has spiked leading up to the last ...

Moody's top economist says the US job market is signaling that a recession is already underway

Top economist Mark Zandi said he created a recession indicator based around the Sahm Rule, which flashed a positive signal ...

Moody's top economist says the US job market is already in decline — and the risks of a recession are 'uncomfortably high’

While Zandi's warning appears to be dire, his measure of an incoming recession doesn't mean an economic crash is imminent.

Walmart-related recession indicator is at its highest point since the 2008 financial crisis

One of America’s biggest retailers is flashing a big recession indicator. A market indicator known as the Walmart Recession ...

US Recession 2026: Wall Street and CEOs warn — top indicators you need to watch

US recession warning 2026: US recession fears are escalating as rising oil prices and global tensions, particularly the ...
Blockonomi

2026 Recession Risk: What Current Economic Indicators Are Telling Us

Recession probability climbs to 39.2% in March 2026. Markets decline, oil prices surge, and key valuation metrics signal economic uncertainty ahead.

Economists are ‘loath’ to call a recession, but the odds just hit 49% for the next 12 months according to Moody’s top economist

"If oil prices remain elevated for much longer (weeks and not months), a recession will be difficult to avoid," Zandi said.

A Walmart-related recession indicator is at its highest since the 2008 financial crisis. Here's what it means for the U.S. economy

One of America’s biggest retailers is flashing a big recession indicator. A market indicator known as the Walmart Recession ...

Recession 2026: What to Watch and How to Prepare

While the Fed is projecting growth, four key threats could derail the economy in 2026: policy-driven inflation, "stagflation lite," consumer exhaustion and a potential artificial intelligence bubble.

Is Australia at risk of a recession? Here’s what the data actually shows

Talk of a recession in Australia has picked up in recent weeks. Rising fuel prices, a sharp fall in consumer confidence, and ...